
Will they "14th Amendment the Convicted Felon out and put Vance in"?
8
100Ṁ4372029
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump gets elected, will Vance get fired?
12% chance
Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?
8% chance
Will JD Vance be charged with a crime by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will, as Trump acts more and more outrageously, they "use the 25th to replace him with Vance" who will be "even worse"?
10% chance
If Vance replaces Trump, who will be his VP?
If Trump takes control for a third term will Vance still be his vice president on inauguration day?
35% chance
Will a Democrat win the Ohio Senate special election?
34% chance
Will JD Vance be charged with a crime by the end of 2026?
4% chance
If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Will JD Vance be US vice president on January 1st 2029?
71% chance