Will Jesus Christ be the King of Poland in 2040?
Plus
24
Ṁ6332040
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In 2016, Jesus Christ was officially crowned as King of Poland by an act of Polish Parliament.
The market will resolve YES unless:
Jesus Christ is officially dethroned, or
There is a revolution, coup or some other discontinuous change in the type of government, and the new government does not reaffirm Jesus as king by 2040.
The market will resolve on Jan 1st, 2040. If Jesus is dethroned and subsequently enthroned again by the market end date, it will still resolve "YES".
Context:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-18/religion-and-power-reunite-in-modern-poland
https://www.vice.com/en/article/7bmwgq/jesus-christ-king-of-poland-876
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Poland stay a member of the European Union in 2050?
71% chance
Will a party other than PiS and PO win any national election in Poland by 2040?
66% chance
[Metaculus] Will Poland legalize gay marriage by 2030?
30% chance
Poland: Will Jarosław Kaczyński live through 2030?
65% chance
Will Poland adopt the euro before 2030?
28% chance
Will Poland adopt the euro before 2035?
50% chance
Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro live through 2030?
55% chance
Will Poland become a National Superpower by the year 2040?
12% chance
Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030?
52% chance
Will Poland implement a new electoral system for the Sejm before 2030?
25% chance