Will Donald Trump's strong leadership see S&P500 reach ATH in June 2025?
9
100Ṁ193
Jun 29
25%
chance

  • Update 2025-06-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution will not directly depend on determining if the S&P500 performance is due to 'Donald Trump's strong leadership'. The market will resolve based on whether the S&P500 reaches an ATH in June 2025.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

How do we figure out for the resolution condition of it's related to Trump's leadership or is that not in fact part of the condition?

@AlexanderTheGreater It's not directly part of the condition.

@skibidist It is literally in your question so it should be somehow shown to have had an effect.

@MaxA It's "see" as in "be the time or setting of something". Besides, presidency always has an impact on the market. It does not need showing.

@skibidist How will you resolve if it is generally agreed (let's say a consensus in WSJ or similar) that Trump has been choking the markets but S&P 500 still hits ATH?

@MaxA news media being unable to comprehend 4d chess doesn't make it any less 4d chess

@jim But does @skibidist comprehend 4d chess well enough to resolve this question correctly?

@MaxA I won't trust the legacy media on anything, but I trust Mr Lutnick.

@skibidist Just to be sure: betting in this market doesn't require participation in prayer circles, does it?

@MaxA It's okay. I will pray for you.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy