Will Donald Trump's strong leadership see S&P500 reach ATH in June 2025?
9
100Ṁ193Jun 29
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-06-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The resolution will not directly depend on determining if the S&P500 performance is due to 'Donald Trump's strong leadership'. The market will resolve based on whether the S&P500 reaches an ATH in June 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will S&P 500 increase in 2025?
72% chance
Will The S&P 500 Close above 6,500 on December 31st, 2025?
51% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in one day in 2025?
1% chance
Will Trump join the S&P 500?
10% chance
Will DJT outperform the S&P 500 in 2024?
98% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
63% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
69% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2029?
68% chance
What will be the value of the S&P 500 at the end of 2028, conditional on Donald Trump being elected in 2024?
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2028?
74% chance
Sort by:
@MaxA It's "see" as in "be the time or setting of something". Besides, presidency always has an impact on the market. It does not need showing.
@skibidist How will you resolve if it is generally agreed (let's say a consensus in WSJ or similar) that Trump has been choking the markets but S&P 500 still hits ATH?
@skibidist Just to be sure: betting in this market doesn't require participation in prayer circles, does it?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will S&P 500 increase in 2025?
72% chance
Will The S&P 500 Close above 6,500 on December 31st, 2025?
51% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in one day in 2025?
1% chance
Will Trump join the S&P 500?
10% chance
Will DJT outperform the S&P 500 in 2024?
98% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
63% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2027?
69% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2029?
68% chance
What will be the value of the S&P 500 at the end of 2028, conditional on Donald Trump being elected in 2024?
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2028?
74% chance