What will be the value of the S&P 500 at the end of 2028, conditional on Donald Trump being elected in 2024? | Manifold

What will be the value of the S&P 500 at the end of 2028, conditional on Donald Trump being elected in 2024?

Premium

16

Ṁ3996

2028

7,256.41

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves after the final trading day of 2028.

Resolves to 12,800 if S&P500 is higher than that. Max was chosen given the S&P 500 future for Dec 2028 trades around 6,400 when the question was created.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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1,000

and

3.00

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