Will the Biden market surpass LK-99 in total number of traders?
Basic
18
9.8k
resolved Jul 20
Resolved
YES

currently, @NathanpmYoung is ~400 traders away from having the largest market on Manifold:
/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n

surpassed only by @QuantumObserver's LK-99 market:
/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre

Nathan's market resolves with the formal announcement of the official Democratic nominee for a Presidential candidate - any time between now and the DNC (Aug 19-22)

resolves yes: when the Biden market holds the top position in a list sorted by total traders as shown below
resolves no: if the Biden market closes without surpassing LK-99

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ170
2Ṁ140
3Ṁ75
4Ṁ60
5Ṁ60
Sort by:

resolves yes

currently:

Biden - 6197

LK-99 - 6548

Biden - 6311
LK-99 - 6551

bought Ṁ50 YES from 76% to 77%

Biden - 6442

LK-99 - 6551

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

thank isitjoever.com for that

Biden - 6548

LK-99 - 6551

Biden - 6560

LK-99 - 6551

@NathanpmYoung your Biden market is currently the largest on the site by trader count 🏆