dating bingo: what will I see/do/experience while dating?
16
2.3kṀ841
2026
89%
go on a second date with the same person
71%
ghosted
67%
get him to tell me one of his controversial opinions (and decide it's not controversial)
65%
go on a third date with the same person
64%
explain what prediction markets are and he tells me it's gambling
59%
go on a date with someone a friend fixes me up with
59%
a date with someone I met on Manifold
57%
have a date with someone born outside of the US
55%
fall in love
52%
go to a movie and find out he does something annoying or distracting while watching
51%
he has a political opinion that offends me
50%
enter a committed relationship/resolve the relationship market https://manifold.markets/shankypanky/how-many-first-dates-will-i-go-on-b
50%
he hates cats
50%
go on a date with someone whose name is a cognate with Stefanie (e.g. Steve, Stefano, Esteban, Étienne etc.)
48%
first date board games
47%
make a handshake bet on the first date
47%
tells me he's poly/enm (but didn't mention on his dating profile)
45%
he's allergic to cats
45%
he signs up for Manifold on my referral link
45%
find out he's anti-jaywalking

in the spirit of past bingo markets such as:

/shankypanky/nyc-bingo-what-will-i-experienceenc
/Joshua/bay-area-bingo-what-will-i-experien

/LaurenM/will-sonoma-county-california-ban-f
/shankypanky/bay-area-bingo-what-will-i-experien-6ufcpdbqcj

I bring you: dating bingo.

I've been single a long time, and I'd like to find someone to date. in a dating app era, the search can be a bit exhausting and it's easy for me to just close them and tune out. but I'm nothing if not motivated by markets, and I think a bingo will make it more interesting to go on dates.

this market is open to add answers, but please only add real options - I reserve the right to NA any unserious, dangerous, impossible, impractical answers. if you have any question about it, ask me. if you don't want to pay the fee to add it, comment and I'll add it for you. all options are for any date, it doesn't have to be a first date or a new person etc.

  • Update 2025-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the answer 'he tell me he's already on manifold':

This will only resolve YES if the creator finds this out unexpectedly. This does not include scenarios where the creator met the person on Manifold. A separate answer will be added for that case.

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Firstly, to help set base rates, which of the current options happened the last time you tried dating, and how frequently?

Secondly, some general questions which affect the odds of options related to relationship success in general (ones I think I already know are struck-through, but I may be wrong):

  • General info

    • What is your approximate age, gender (I think woman based on username and profile pic?), and sexual/romantic orientation?

    • What general part of the world do you live in? (I think the Bay Area based on other market?)

    • What broad sector is your current profession / subject of study in?

  • Primary dating factors

    • Are you actively attempting to find someone, or planning to in the near future? (yes based on market description)

    • What methods are you currently using, or planning to use?

    • How attractive do you consider yourself to be, and do you consider yourself to have high standards for attractiveness in potential partners, both physically and personality-wise?

    • Roughly how much past relationship experience do you have?

    • What is the approximate size, gender balance, and relationship success rate of your friendship group?

  • Potential major barriers

    • Do you have extremely controversial political/philosophical/religious views or hobbies/interests?

    • Do you have significant physical (I know there's the thyroid problem from the other market, not sure if anything else?) and/or mental long term illnesses/disabilities?

    • Do you find it difficult to enjoy the company of, compassionately care about, and trust people you meet?

    • Do you have very little consistent free time to spend on finding someone?

  • Misc/meta

The All Memeing Eye Official List Of Dating Odds Questions has arguably grown to be quite large over time lol, so you don't have to answer them all if it's too inconvenient/personal

Best of luck :)

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 62% order

this market closes in 24h?

@nikthink oh god, I'm not that ambitious. thanks - I'll update.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Does "he tells me he's already on manifold" resolve yes if you met on manifold?

@LarsOsborne hmm my intention for that one was to find out unexpectedly. I'll add an option for a date with someone I met on Manifold!

bought Ṁ10 YES

@shankypanky could you add the word "unexpectedly" to it to avoid people betting mistakenly?

@TheAllMemeingEye him I think it's clear that if he tells me he's on manifold we didn't already meet there (because I'd already know that, then lol) is it really unclear?

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