Will Manifold Markets become an echo-chamber of AI enthusiasts and Destiny (the streamer) fans in 2023?
Will anyone create a substantive podcast show about Manifold Markets by the end of 2023?
What is the most cursed market on Manifold?
Will any market about Kardashians on Manifold have more than 100 traders by the end of 2023?
Will the Time Person of the Year market make Manifold look really smart, or hopelessly delusional?
By the end of 2023, will any real-world event have had at least 20 different Manifold markets about it with near-identical resolution criteria?
Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Will Manifold have a more refined way to filter through markets by 2024?
Will Manifold figure out a satisfactory self-resolving market mechanism by the end of 2023? [Resolves to the most satisfactory such mechanism]
Who will be the top trader on Manifold at the end of 2023?
Will Nate Silver make 7 or more markets on Manifold by the end of 2023?
Will Manifold reward the classification of markets into groups by end of 2023?
Will a billionaire make a Manifold market by the end of 2023
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Will Manifold Markets perform better in the 2023 Astral Codex Ten contest than 2022?
Will I go down another research rabbit hole because of a Manifold Market in 2023?
Will The Economist publish an article about Manifold Market or any other prediction market before 2024?
Will The Economist publish an article about Manifold Market or any other prediction market before 1st Feb 2024?
Will Robin Hanson create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?
Tomek K 🟡