Which of these companies will go public (IPO) at a debut valuation of more than $10 billion in 2024?
Which of these companies will go public (IPO) at a debut valuation of more than $10 billion in 2024?
42
2.1kṀ19kresolved Jan 12
Resolved
YESCVC
Resolved
YESGalderma
Resolved
NOReddit
Resolved
NOZeekr
Resolved
NOShein
Resolved
NOStripe
Resolved
NODatabricks
Resolved
NOGrammarly
Resolved
NOFanatics
Resolved
NOEpic Games
Resolved
NONorthvolt
Resolved
NORevolut
Resolved
NOKlarna
Resolved
NODiscord
Resolved
NOCerebras Systems
Resolved
NOX Corp / X Holdings / Twitter
Resolved
NOFlexport
Resolved
NOStubhub
Resolved
NOFigma
Resolved
NOSpaceX
Resolves YES for each company that goes public (anywhere in the world) and is valued at more than $10 billion at market opening. Resolves according to major financial news coverage (e.g. Bloomberg).
Clarification: Has to happen between 1-1-2024 and 12-31-2024.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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