Will the phrase "effective altruism" be used in more than 50 New York Times articles in 2023?
34
Ṁ630Ṁ16kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As measured by this search.
As of Jan 27, 2023, there is only 1 such article. Here is a time series of counts:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ421 | |
| 2 | Ṁ50 | |
| 3 | Ṁ49 | |
| 4 | Ṁ31 | |
| 5 | Ṁ18 |
People are also trading
Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
77% chance
Will "Jaan Tallinn's 2024 Philanthropy Overview" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Fiction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
27% chance
Will "Timaeus in 2024" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "Anthropic's leading researchers acted as mode..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "New Endorsements for “If Anyone Builds It, Ev..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
4% chance
Will "Leaving Open Philanthropy, going to Anthropic" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Increasing returns to effort are common" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Sort by:
Here's another market that might let people make more precise predictions https://manifold.markets/samb/will-the-phrase-effective-altruism-132828f94e20
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
77% chance
Will "Jaan Tallinn's 2024 Philanthropy Overview" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "The News is Never Neglected" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Fiction" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
27% chance
Will "Timaeus in 2024" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
7% chance
Will "Anthropic's leading researchers acted as mode..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "New Endorsements for “If Anyone Builds It, Ev..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
4% chance
Will "Leaving Open Philanthropy, going to Anthropic" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Increasing returns to effort are common" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance