If the Room-Temperature Superconductor is real, will calculating a 2048-bit RSA Key Cost <$1000 in 2030?
1
70Ṁ20
resolved Jan 31
Resolved
N/A

This is a conditional market 'Conditional if A then B', where 'A' is the room-temp-superconductor-real question on polymarket.com, and 'B' is the less-than-1000-to-calculate-a-pgp-private-key market on metaculus.com

The resolution of this question is not applicable (N/A) unless the final outcome of this Polymarket market is 'Yes': https://polymarket.com/event/is-the-room-temp-superconductor-real

Otherwise, this question will resolve according to this Metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/607/will-it-cost-less-than-1000-to-calculate-a-pgp-private-key-from-a-2048-bit-pgp-public-key-in-2030/

The corresponding conditional market can be found here: https://manifold.markets/ruttar/if-the-roomtemperature-superconduct-0259e9f30bb6

Science
Information security
Quantum Computing
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