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MANIFOLD
Firefox Market Share Jan 2026, 3.xx%
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Ṁ1kṀ706
Jan 31
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What will be Firefox's browser market share for Jan 2026? It's consistently 3.xx%, so this market resolves to xx% eg 3.75% market share and this market resolves 75%. 4% or higher market share and this market resolves 100%, 3% or below resolves to 0.

Data source for resolution is Cloudflare's quarterly report, eg here is Q3 2025: https://radar.cloudflare.com/reports/browser-market-share-2025-q3

Closes end of Jan, resolution data might not be available until the quarterly report in April.

  • Update 2026-06-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Cloudflare quarterly report (primary data source) has not yet been published. The creator is considering resolving based on alternative sources if the report is not published soon. Traders are invited to comment on potentially modifying the resolution criteria to use other sources.

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https://radar.cloudflare.com/reports

This still hasn't been published, as far as I can tell.

I've put together a loose plan to resolve based on other source(s) if this isn't published soon.

Is anybody hurting for the mana tied up here? Comments on possibly modifying the resolution criteria to use other sources?

I'm not just being lazy, the report isn't out as far as I can tell. Will keep waiting. Cloudflare should be a reliable source, I don't think they've stopped reporting. If we get through June I'll consider alternative sources or N/A. Open to suggestions.

Still waiting on the report. Should be out this month for all of Q1.

Market is closed. Waiting on the report to be published for resolution. I'll check periodically. Feel free to ping me if you notice the cloudflare report show up.