Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
When will Windows Market Share fall below 50% on desktop?
2
Ṁ1.2kṀ470
2035
April 1, 2031
6%
2026
9%
2027
11%
2028
12%
2029
11%
2030
9%
2031
9%
2032
9%
2033
9%
2034
7%
2035
5%
After 2035

Windows market share on desktop is declining. Windows remains dominant, but a significant number of users are actively choosing to leave the platform and governments around the world are increasingly adopting Linux-based operating systems.

The lowest recorded point for Windows according to statcounter is March 2026, with a market share of 60.8%. This market resolves to the year Windows falls below 50%.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!