Will Trump's most insulting public statement about Musk in June be oral?
Will Trump's most insulting public statement about Musk in June be oral?
8
100Ṁ187
Jul 2
22%
chance

Resolves YES if the most insulting statement is oral, NO if it is something else, like an online post. Right now, I think that the most insulting statement is "I'm very disappointed in Elon." (So if Trump were to die now, this market would resolve YES. Edit: this was true until Trump posted that Musk is crazy).

The resolution is likely to be subjective, so I won't trade. I will attempt to find consensus among traders before resolving, and will ask AI if no consensus can be reached.

US Politics
Trump
Elon musk
Republican Party
Trump's Second Term
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Trump said "he went CRAZY!" on truth social, is that worse?

one of the problems with this market that i really appreciate is that resolving it properly will require us to bicker over which of trump's musk insults stings the most, i'm looking forward to that regardless of outcome

16d

@KJW_01294 I think that it is worse, and based on other markets, the consensus on manifold seems to be that it is. I wrote this question before Trump posted that

16d

Also note: https://manifold.markets/WilliamGunn/is-it-good-practice-to-ask-a-llm-fo

16d

Verbal as in using words vs posting a mean meme?

16d

@WilliamGunn verbal as in said outloud

16d

@robert The word you want is "oral". Verbal includes both spoken and written.

16d

@WilliamGunn that is not actually true, but I agree that oral is clearer

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Verbal

16d

@robert It's clearer and mostly true: https://webapps.towson.edu/ows/oral_verbal.htm

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