I wonder when or if Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a serious, substantial, and prolonged public falling out. This means they engage in significant negative exchanges lasting over a couple of weeks, involving multiple substantial criticisms of each other on major issues—not just minor disagreements or single-issue disputes. Light-hearted remarks, minor critiques, or respectful criticism of some decisions while still maintaining their relationship don’t count. It has to be somewhat personal.
I won’t be betting on this market.
1,000People are also trading
@sahaj i've had a few serious friendship crashouts but never had any of them imply I'm a pedophile to 220M followers
@dgga I'd argue the magnitude of statements doesn't matter. The market specifies a long timeline, and from what I can see, the negative exchanges ended in a matter of days.
@KJW_01294 No. He said after in a podcast that he was open to reconciling:
“I guess I could, but we have to straighten out the country,” the president replied when asked if he and Musk could ever get back on good terms.
So you’re saying the market is now a “will they reconcile” market, not a “will they break up” market.
If that’s where you are, you’ll never resolve fairly. I’m out.
(EDIT: ooops not market creator, ignore me)
@KJW_01294 he's not the market author and represents less than 1% of the traders' view of how this market should be resolved.
For example I vehemently disagree with him, think this market should have been resolved already, and keep buying the 'never' -option to 10%.
@KJW_01294 No, that's not what I'm saying, I was simply trying to negate what you said.
What I am trying to say is that the dispute b/w Elon and Trump a few weeks ago doesn't fulfill the "significant negative exchanges lasting over a couple of weeks" criteria (even though the allegations and exchanges were serious).
Regardless, I am not the market creator and you shouldn't be making decisions based of what I'm saying.
@sahaj I see, but the podcast question was about “returning to good terms,” with Trump replying in the negative that there would have to be changes. If we get no public comment, we should assume that they’re on bad terms, which I strongly feel should count.
(Sorry for assuming you were market creator earlier. No coffee yet this morning.)
is signaling that he’s ending things. Feels semipermanemt to me.
