Tiger Zhang is a first-year undergraduate at MIT currently taking 18.905 (Algebraic Topology I). Will he finish all of problem set 4 before the deadline?
He started problem set 1 two days before the deadline, only finishing two-thirds of the problem set before the deadline.
We asked whether he would finish problem set 2 on time at https://manifold.markets/rewind/will-tiger-zhang-finish-problem-set and it resolved NO on a technicality; check https://manifold.markets/rewind/will-tiger-zhang-finish-problem-set#9w0mz3bn3dj for more details.
We asked whether he would finish problem 3 on time at https://manifold.markets/rewind/will-tiger-zhang-finish-problem-set-0QslP8zQEQ and he did not finish a problem, so it resolved NO.
This problem set is currently due on Thursday, April 16th in class (11am). The problem set is given below, where you can find [Miller] at https://math.mit.edu/~hrm/papers/lectures-905-906.pdf.
This market resolves YES if Tiger submits a full solution to each problem in this problem set to the professor in class on the due date. These solutions do not have to be correct, as long as Tiger genuinely believes that the solution he has submitted is correct at the time of submission.
Otherwise, the market resolves NO.
1,000