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Will Tiger Zhang finish problem set 2 for 18.905 on time?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ729
Mar 3
30%
chance
Problem set shortened due to snow day
+5%
on

Tiger Zhang is a first-year undergraduate at MIT currently taking 18.905 (Algebraic Topology I). He started problem set 1 two days before the deadline, only finishing two-thirds of the problem set before the deadline. Will he finish all of problem set 2 before the deadline?

This problem set is due on Tuesday, March 3rd in class (11am). The problem set is given below, where you can find [Miller] at https://math.mit.edu/~hrm/papers/lectures-905-906.pdf.

This market resolves YES if Tiger submits a full solution to each problem in this problem set to the professor in class on 3/3. These solutions do not have to be correct, as long as Tiger genuinely believes that the solution he has submitted is correct at the time of submission.

Otherwise, the market resolves NO.

  • Update 2026-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Due to a snow day cancellation, the professor has made the following changes to problem set 2:

    • Problems in sections 15 and 16 have been removed

    • Problem 12.2(b) has been updated (the original problem was incorrect)

The market will resolve based on the updated problem set with these changes.

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bought Ṁ5 YES

As a result of the snow day at MIT today, the lecture for 18.905 was cancelled today. Accordingly, the professor removed the problems in sections 15 and 16. In addition, the professor has updated problem 12.2(b); the problem is incorrect as stated.

The problem set has been updated here.

bought Ṁ30 YES

I believe in you !!

bought Ṁ50 NO

free mana on NO

bought Ṁ20 NO

@jatloe Tiger has bet YES in an attempt to motivate himself to finish this problem set.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@rewind ...more free mana on NO

0 -> Tiger Zhang -> Brain -> Pset 2 -> 0

bought Ṁ50 NO

nah he'll be too busy talking to [A-Z0-9]{1,2}

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