Tiger Zhang is a first-year undergraduate at MIT currently taking 18.905 (Algebraic Topology I). Will he finish all of problem set 3 before the deadline?
He started problem set 1 two days before the deadline, only finishing two-thirds of the problem set before the deadline.
We asked whether he would finish problem set 2 on time at https://manifold.markets/rewind/will-tiger-zhang-finish-problem-set and it resolved NO on a technicality; check https://manifold.markets/rewind/will-tiger-zhang-finish-problem-set#9w0mz3bn3dj for more details.
This problem set is currently due on Thursday, March 19th in class (11am). The problem set is given below, where you can find [Miller] at https://math.mit.edu/~hrm/papers/lectures-905-906.pdf.
This market resolves YES if Tiger submits a full solution to each problem in this problem set to the professor in class on the due date. These solutions do not have to be correct, as long as Tiger genuinely believes that the solution he has submitted is correct at the time of submission.
Otherwise, the market resolves NO.
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Tiger did not complete problem 20.13. As a result, he did not submit a complete solution to each problem in the problem set, and the market resolves NO.
@Incompleteusern Sure. The point of the market is just to see whether Tiger can finish the problem set on time, without penalizing for fakesolves (which are a normal part of doing math).
@Incompleteusern The format of the class precludes Tiger from submitting the problem set early.
Under the current market criteria, if Tiger found a fakesolve after writing up all problems, but had to submit before having time to patch it, the market will resolve NO. If you have a better set of market criteria, feel free to let me know.
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