Will I gain kernel-level privileges on my Switch 2, in 2025?
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Will I, personally, gain kernel-level privileges on my Nintendo Switch 2, before the end of 2025?

This includes self-developed exploits, but it would also count if I'm merely running someone else's exploit - but it has to be running on a console that I own. If a public exploit becomes available, it's highly likely that I'd want to test it on my own console.

"kernel-level privileges" means being able to run arbitrary code at EL1. In practice this could just be applying small patches to the retail kernel at run-time.

In the event of YES, I may not be able to present incontrovertible proof (i.e. exploit details may remain private), so you may have to take my word for it. I won't bet in this market.

See also: https://manifold.markets/retr0id/will-the-nintendo-switch-2-be-hacke

(note, the two markets have different resolution criteria and end dates!)

By the way, I pre-ordered the switch 2 and expect to have one at launch day.

  • Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the purposes of this market, 'my Nintendo Switch 2' refers to any Switch 2 console in the creator's possession. This includes any replacements for a previous console.

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For avoidance of doubt, "my Nintendo Switch 2" refers to any switch 2 in my possession. I bricked my first one but have ordered a second.

bought Ṁ250 NO

Are you comfortable with soldering?

@Robincvgr yes, even BGA rework (I've done modchip installs on a handful of switch lites)

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