Will there be a platform for user-generated prediction markets that specializes in markets for personal goals by 2035?
Plus
1
Ṁ3002035
23%
Yes, and it will be successful within its first year. (*based on my subjective assessment)
23%
Yes and it will not be successful within its first year. (*)
23%
No, but another existing platform will have evolved in this direction by EOY 2035. (*)
23%
No, a new platform will not be created for this purpose, nor will an existing platform evolve in this direction. (*)
10%
I believe that with the right marketing strategy, such a concept could appeal to a large target group and be commercially successful.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will people care about prediction markets by 2025?
35% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
66% chance
Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?
33% chance
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?
71% chance
Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?
31% chance
Will investment firms be interested in prediction market platforms before the end of 2024?
78% chance
Will prediction markets be able to predict the month any given person would die by > 95% by 2035?
24% chance
Will behavioral prediction markets be used in a dating app before 2025?
58% chance
Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
39% chance