SpaceXAI Compute Futarchy
2
Ṁ100Ṁ2602028
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
9%
Will SpaceXAI be the first to achieve AGI, if they get another 1GW+ of compute before the end of 2027?
6%
Will SpaceXAI be the first to achieve AGI, if they do not get another 1GW+ of compute before the end of 2027?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceXAI rename itself to SpaceXSI (or another "SI" name) by end of 2026?
99% chance
Name of Tesla & SpaceXAI Merged Company
What number model will SpaceXAI be on by EOY?
48% chance
SpaceX pivots away from xAI
27% chance
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
34% chance
Will SpaceX / xAI have a functioning space-based datacentre with 10K or more H100-class (or better) GPU's by 2032?
26% chance
OpenAI reaches 250GW compute capacity by EOY 2033?
16% chance
1GW AI training run before 2027?
84% chance
SpaceX and XAI worth combined $20 trillion by 2030?
13% chance
In five years, will there be more AI compute launched to space each year than the total amount of AI compute on Earth?
6% chance