Will there be a Manifest x FYRE?
5
100Ṁ2202026
24%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Manifest x DC or any other Manifest event (including Minifest and actual Manifest) I judge to be like FYRE festival or scammy in any sense.
Examples of things that would make this market resolve YES:
Most speakers don't show up.
Manifold Admin/Core Team doesn't show up.
Someone dies (clearly not for medical reasons).
There is no food.
Someone steals all the ticket money.
Edge cases: I will do a poll before resolving
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifest X DC sell out?
81% chance
Will there be a news article about Manifest x DC 2025?
34% chance
Will there be a Manifest 'Manifesto' that alleges financial, sexual or other misconduct at a Manifest by EOY 2030?
64% chance
Will I go to Manifest next year?
43% chance
Will there be another Manifest conference held in 2026?
84% chance
Will there be a manifest in june of 2026?
52% chance
Will there be a manifest in july of 2026?
35% chance
Will 2025 be the final Manifest?
18% chance