Which prediction market events will I attend/speak at in 2026? (Read desc)
3
Ṁ225Ṁ258Dec 31
88%
Manifest (June, Berkeley)
66%
NEXTPredict (October, NYC)
24%
Prediction Market Conference (November, Las Vegas)
57%
Predict2026 (December, Las Vegas)
60%
A Manifold-sponsored meetup that’s not Manifest
59%
(Another) Gondor NYC meetup.
26%
SBC (June, Fort Lauderdale)
58%
Any event outside of the USA
50%
PREDICT (October, NYC)
Each option resolves 50% if I attend or YES if I speak.
Context dump:
I am Eli Goldfine/@realTomBayes on X
I already have Manifest tickets
I am based in NYC
Predict2026 has offered to cover my travel expenses if I agree to moderate a panel, others are in the works
For meetups or casual events, the market can resolve YES if I attend and don’t speak.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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