How many "big" NYT headlines will there be in 2026?
3
225Ṁ234
Dec 31
48.8 headlines
expected
4%
5 - 14
11%
15 - 24
9%
25 - 34
9%
35 - 44
23%
45 - 54
19%
55 - 64
21%
65 - 75
3%
Above 75

Example:

So far, as of January 3, there have been two (the one pictured, and "New Year, New Mayor, New York").

I will be counting myself. I check NYT once per day, in the morning. I will be posting a comment here with a screenshot each time I see one, and if I miss any, please correct me. Market resolves to the number of my comments with a screenshot on this market by EOY (any duplicates don't count).

If NYT/the NYT website shuts down, or NYT does something that would make "big headlines" impossible, I will make a new binary market, N/A this one, and query on the new binary: "@FairlyRandom 5" if the output is 1, resolves to 67%, if the output is 2, resolves to 41%, if the outcome is 3, resolves to 69%, if the outcome is 4, resolves to 93%, if the outcome is 5, resolves NO.

Resolves Above 75 if NYC ceases to exist or Mamdani is shot and killed before close, resolves 5-14 if a large city (500,000+ people) in the state of California ceases to exist or Mamdani is shot and not killed before close. If a nuclear bomb is detonated before close, resolves to the latitude coordinate of the epicenter of the bombing.

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I thought you didn't read the fake news media, mr. president 🤔

I do not consent to prediction markets about this until day 21 of inactivity. After that, it would be an honor.

-Quroe's Dead-Man Switch

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Quroe I wouldn't say this is about the dead-man switch per se.

@Quroe it just references this. You should add more specific criteria

@realDonaldTrump Done. 😆

That doesn’t make sense. You can’t resolve a multi choice market to NO.

@Jack1 fixed

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