Grokipedia v1 before Dec 15?
8
1kṀ2149Dec 16
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES if Grokipedia v1 (aka 1.0/GA) is publicly released (general access, no waitlist/invite) on or before Dec 15, 2025, 23:59 PT, evidenced by any of:
Official posts from @xai or @elonmusk;
Pages/posts on grokipedia.com, xai.com, or grok.com;
grokipedia.com v1 live and publicly usable.
NO otherwise.
Notes: Closed alpha/beta, waitlists, teasers, or press/rumors don’t count. A different name only counts if official channels say it is Grokipedia.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Grokipedia props
English articles on Grokipedia by end of 2025?
1.3m
What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release?
The Economist mentions "Grokipedia" by EOY 2025?
28% chance
Grok 5 released before March 31?
71% chance
Will manifold.markets have its own Grokipedia article by EOY2026?
73% chance