Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph R. Biden Jr. grants a full, partial, or conditional pardon to Sam Bankman-Fried by January 21, 2025, at 11:59 PM PST.

Conditions for Resolution:

• The pardon must be officially announced through White House communications, the Department of Justice, or listed on the official pardon list.

• Any commutation of sentence, clemency, or reduction in sentence will not qualify unless explicitly referred to as a pardon.

Exclusions:

• State-level pardons or dismissals do not qualify.

• Legal appeals, retrials, or overturned convictions will not trigger a “Yes” resolution.

Primary Sources:

• Official White House statements, DOJ publications, or credible media outlets reporting the pardon.

If no pardon is granted by January 21, 2025, the market will resolve to “No.”