Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
12
162
Ṁ1.3KṀ70
2026
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any of his 7 convictions are overturned or he asks for and gets a resentencing. Resolves NO when his direct appeal is over or his time to appeal has lapsed, e.g. cert denied at SCOTUS.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Sam Bankman-Fried ditch his hairstyle before serving time?
12% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried plead not guilty to a felony charge while serving a jail sentence, by mid 2025
52% chance
Sam Bankman-Fried will appeal a conviction to the Second Circuit
95% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried plead guilty by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?
7% chance
If convicted, which prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sent to?
Will Sam Bankman-Fried convert to Islam in prison?
8% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried launch a new crypto exchange within a year of getting out of prison?
11% chance