Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
26
Ṁ1kṀ11kSep 1
1%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if any of his 7 convictions are overturned or he asks for and gets a resentencing. Resolves NO when his direct appeal is over or his time to appeal has lapsed, e.g. cert denied at SCOTUS.
Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A presidential pardon does not count as a successful appeal and would resolve the market NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
bought Ṁ950 NO
Doesn't resolve yet because of cert potential although that's quite unlikely