Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon.com Inc. completes the acquisition of Lyft Inc. on or before December 31, 2025. The acquisition is considered complete when both companies publicly announce the finalization of the deal, and all necessary regulatory approvals have been obtained. If no such acquisition is completed by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."

Background:

Amazon has a history of strategic acquisitions to expand its services and market presence. Notable examples include the purchase of Whole Foods Market in 2017 for $13.7 billion, marking its entry into the grocery sector, and the acquisition of MGM Studios in 2022 for $8.45 billion to bolster its streaming content library. (visualcapitalist.com)

In 2020, Amazon acquired autonomous vehicle startup Zoox for over $1 billion, indicating an interest in self-driving technology. (feinternational.com) Lyft, a major player in the ride-hailing industry, reported 24 million active riders in the third quarter of 2024. An acquisition of Lyft could potentially enhance Amazon's capabilities in autonomous ride-hailing services by integrating Zoox's technology with Lyft's existing network. (theinformation.com)

As of April 26, 2025, Amazon's stock price is $188.99, and Lyft's stock price is $12.21. Amazon's substantial cash reserves and Lyft's market position make such an acquisition financially feasible.

Considerations:

While there is speculation about Amazon acquiring Lyft to advance its autonomous vehicle ambitions, no official announcements have been made by either company regarding such a deal. Investors should monitor official communications from Amazon and Lyft, as well as regulatory filings and reputable news sources, for any developments related to this potential acquisition.