Will the Unfolding Atlas substack post more than the Experience Machines substack in 2024?
4
55
70
2025
45%
chance

(FYI: I write Unfolding Atlas!)

This should be a close one.

On the one hand: Experience Machines posted 24 times last year while Unfolding Atlas posted three times; Experience Machines is betting thousands of mana on publishing twice per month for the whole year; and Experience Machines has already made two posts this year, while Unfolding Atlas just posted its first.

On the other hand: I'm very competitive.

I'm not going to set certain criteria for what kind of posts count (i.e. no minimum length or quality). But I'm taking this seriously; I'm not going to post crap just to out-publish Rob.

I will bet on this market, but I'll only bet "Yes".

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Rob met his goal of publishing twice in Feb, while I didn't publish at all, so Experience Machines now leads 4-2