Each month [1] for the rest of the year, https://experiencemachines.substack.com/ must post at least twice.
One post must be a links roundup with at least 10 links; the other post(s) must be at least 700 words long. The market will resolve early if a given month passes without those conditions being satisfied.
I will only buy YES. It's a pretty ambitious goal - see if you can earn some money from my overconfidence.
Reasons to vote NO:
-most bloggers don't maintain a regular posting habit
-previous year I came extremely close to failing a similar goal several times
-I'm going to bet this market irrationally high
-my substack is not a primary work or life priority--I am now running an org--so I might rationally de-prioritize it
[1] end of month according to the time zone I'm posting from, which has been, and will likely continue to be, US Pacific Time. Depending on where you are, Substack might show something as having been posted after the end of the month. But if you subscribe (wink wink) you'll be able to know what time the email went out, and bet accordingly.