Predict the outcome of men's tennis match play at events throughout the 2025 ATP season.
Each match that begins will resolve YES if the FIRST player listed advances to the next round, either by win or walkover. The match will resolve NO if the SECOND player listed advances (again either by win or walkover). A match will resolve N/A if it does not take place (that is, if a player withdraws before the match begins). Seeded players are listed with their seed.
Example:
๐ช๐ธ C. Alcaraz (1) v. ๐ฎ๐น L. Nardi (Q) [Doha ATP 500 - Round 2]
Will resolve YES if Alcaraz, seeded first, advances by win or walkover. Will resolve NO if Nardi advances instead.
Will try to leave some limit orders up prior to the match start time for the day, but then will close betting until the matches are completed.
1,000@traders Courtesy of the Manifold API and ChatGPT, I've managed to put together a much quicker way to manage a market like this. To celebrate, I've opened up a WTA matches market! Complete with a typo in the URL that will bother me for the rest of the year. Will run it experimentally through the U.S. Open and see how it goes/how much mana I lose. @benmanns , @evan I've got some delicious limit orders for you to gobble up!
@traders Day 2 of the US Open is up! I've got all the first round matches from the top half of the draw. Will work on getting the remainder not yet completed from the bottom half up shortly. Happy trading!
@traders we're back with Toronto Round of 16 matches today. Have a few limit orders up for the next hour. Will try to get the remainder of Toronto matches up pretty quickly, and then at least some Cincinnati matches before the year's final major.
@traders wimbledon final four are set. For a tournament that began with so many upsets, we end with perhaps the most predictable semi-finalists. Sinner did not look like he had any lingering elbow concerns against Shelton today, but having to beat someone who can actually win points on return could be a bigger task. Alcaraz has handled Fritz easily before, but maybe the American has something special this year? Market open through Friday morning!
@traders and then there were 16! Fourth round matches up with the three favorites still rolling. Limit orders up as well.
@traders round 1 (nearly) in the books. I read it tied the most number of seeds to lose in the first round in the 32 seed era. Crazy! Round 2 matches up now.
@traders wimbledon starts tomorrow, and i've got all the round 1 matches ready to go. happy trading!
@traders got the queens club and Halle semis up now. Since Iโm a bit late, Iโll leave them open for live trading. Enjoy!
@traders grass season is truly upon us with Queen's Club and Halle beginning tomorrow. i've got all the round 1 matches up. will try to keep up with them through Wimbledon.
@traders and with that, the four best clay court players meet in the semis. matches begin friday morning. i'll keep some limit orders up until then.
@traders not a lot of upsets so far, though jack draper goes out today. five best clay court players are all still alive. quarterfinals are up!
@polymathematic can u open up the market for another hour? i was trying to bet but then it closed :/
@traders Diallo's run finally comes to an end in the Madrid quarterfinals! I've got the semis up now with a few small limit orders.