Who will be the 2025 ATP Tour Year End #1 Tennis Player?
37
1kṀ20k
resolved Nov 14
100%99.0%
Carlos Alcaraz
0.9%
Jannik Sinner
0.0%
Novak Djokovic
0.0%
Daniil Medvedev
0.0%
Alexander Zverev
0.0%
Alex de Minaur
0.0%
Taylor Fritz
0.0%
Casper Ruud
0.0%Other

Who will be the number one ranked ATP Tour player upon the conclusion of the 2025 Nitto ATP Finals?

Background

Jannik Sinner currently holds the ATP World No. 1 ranking after a stellar 2024 season that included winning the Nitto ATP Finals. Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic remain strong contenders, with Djokovic notably adding Andy Murray to his team and pursuing his 100th tour-level title. The rankings are determined by points earned in tournaments throughout the calendar year, with the most points awarded for Grand Slams and ATP 1000 events.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the official ATP Tour rankings following the conclusion of the 2025 Nitto ATP Finals. The player ranked #1 in the ATP Singles Rankings at that time will be the winning answer. In the event of a tie in ranking points (which is extremely unlikely), the ATP's official tiebreaker rules will determine the #1 ranking.

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@traders hope you've enjoyed a great year of tennis! I went ahead and put up a market for the 2026 year end number one. will anyone be able to challenge alcaraz or sinner? will sinner run away with it when he doesn't have to miss a fourth of the season?

@traders Great stuff. With Alcaraz's win today, it is impossible for Sinner to overtake him in points. I'll leave it up for a few hours if anyone wants to object, but otherwise will resolve this for Alcaraz tonight.

@pensiveplatypus 😭 it can resolve alcaraz

@105du lol, i too was holding out hope for sinner, would've made a pretty penny

bought Ṁ654 YES

I think it can resolve early. Mathematically, Sinner cannot be 1st anymore

bought Ṁ10 YES

@traders ALCARAZ IS OUT OF PARIS IN THE FIRST ROUND AND WAS DEFENDING POINTS. SINNER DID NOT PLAY IN PARIS LAST YEAR AND ISN"T DEFENDING ANY POINTS. IF SINNER WINS PARIS THEN HE WILL END AS #1

sinner lost shanghai...alcaraz doesn't need to win paris or nittos, its basically over

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