Will the National Guard be deployed to assist law enforcement at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, 2025?
90
2.2kṀ45k
resolved Jan 8
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve YES if the National Guard is officially deployed to assist law enforcement at the U.S. Capitol in Washington, D.C., on or around January 6th, 2025, due to unrest or threats related to the election certification. Official deployment must be confirmed through statements from government officials or credible news agencies. The market will resolve NO if the National Guard is not deployed.

Examples of YES:

  • The National Guard is deployed and takes positions around the Capitol to help manage crowds, confirmed by official sources or news outlets.

Examples of NO:

  • The National Guard is not called upon, and law enforcement alone manages the situation without needing their assistance.

More "J6" markets here:

January 6th: Congress Counts Electoral Votes

Feel free to comment any news or questions you have!

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,588
2Ṁ965
3Ṁ700
4Ṁ269
5Ṁ154
Sort by:

@pluffASMR @SirSalty Can this resolve No now, or do we need to wait?

Searching on google, I only find stuff about National Guard being deployed in 2020, but I can’t find anything confirming that they didn’t show up this time.

@traders A related market can be found here:

bought 𝕊1.00 NO

It’s gonna snow 6+ inches in DC on Sunday/Monday. The odds of this should be <5%

Say, for the sake of argument, the National Guard is not deployed for the inauguration, Trump is sworn in, then he deploys the National Guard in DC that same day for another/whatever reason. Would this resolve YES?

This is a test of your resolution criteria stating, "due to unrest or threats related to the election certification".

Correcting myself: it's not the inauguration. It's the certification. My question is dumb.

bought Ṁ100 YES

isn't this likely to happen just out of precaution?

Made this sweepstakes eligible!

Thank you very much

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules