How many Manifold leagues in a row will I place first?
31
1kṀ11k
resolved Oct 2
100%75%
2
0.9%
0
0.7%
1
24%
3+

I'll try my best.

Intend to spend ~20 minutes daily on Manifold.

Started with July league.

I won't bet.
The close date will be extended if season ends and I placed first.

Already placed first twice:
- https://manifold.markets/leagues/27/silver/speculative-jinxes
- https://manifold.markets/leagues/28/platinum/quantum-sorcerers

Placed second in diamond, resolves 2:
- https://manifold.markets/leagues/29/diamond/wily-minotaurs

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Although it is unfortunate for me, since my current standing is in part due to (thus far) successful trading on this market ...
...it should probably be unranked. Guidelines say markets should be unranked if 'Market is about the results of Leagues.', among other things.

@BorisBartlog I think only mods can do this.

@patrik @BorisBartlog you can tag @mods or contact them on discord if you require their help.

@mods this market should probably be unranked.

@dgga Done. I think if you add the "unranked" topic it will do that.

@EvanDaniel Maybe it should, but when Patrik did it it had no effect on my standing, whereas when you did it just now it adjusted it as expected.

"Starts with this league."
Does that mean 'Season 27 July 2025' market when the claim was created?

Current month is easy to find but it seems a bit of a pain to find
season 27, Silver, 1st, double promotion to platinum
https://manifold.markets/leagues/27/silver/speculative-jinxes
1 Patrik Cihal Ṁ1,914
Perhaps posting these would be useful to attract traders?

Edited description to make it clearer

bought Ṁ500 NO

What league were you last season (June)?

@Nat Gold

@patrik It isn't material, but this is incorrect. You were in silver in June and got leapfrogged up to platinum because you were ranked 1st.

@BorisBartlog No that was July.

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