Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
26
1kṀ1269
2028
26%
chance

A debate on CNN, MSNBC, FOX News, NBC, ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX that features an all AI system (no human hybrid) that in a timely manner paraphrases and assigns truth judgments (it can be of any type/scale) to (a number of) claims (made by candidates in a presidential primary or presidential general election) that are overlayed on the screen will resolve to Yes; the AI must necessarily make a certain number of truth judgments for it to resolve Yes (at least 10 total for the entire debate); the AI's paraphrasing and judgments need not be judged correct or accurate by humans ( it just has to show it tried so even a confabulation/hallucination would be counted ); the AI judgments must be part of the broadcast production televised stream to count (if the AI fact checking is offered only through a particular streaming service app or device it is not counted - in other words everyone able to, must see it). If truth judgments are displayed more than 30s after the candidate finishes the respective claim, then that jugment is not considered timely and not counted towards the total. To repeat, if the truth claims are made available as optional, opt-out/opt-in or as a separate device or app that is not counted.

I am using the following definition to satisfy what is a truth judgment: "Truth judgments reflect inferences drawn from three types of information: base rates, feelings, and consistency with information retrieved from memory." (https://www.annualreviews.org/doi/10.1146/annurev-psych-010419-050807)

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