Mean Arctic Sea Ice Extent in March 2026?
1
1kṀ4482026
13.63 million km²
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
9%
Below 12.8
6%
12.8 - 13.0
9%
13.0 - 13.2
11%
13.2 - 13.4
12%
13.4 - 13.6
12%
13.6 - 13.8
13%
13.8 - 14.0
14%
14.0 - 14.2
15%
Above 14.2
Resolution source will be the JSON from VISHOP https://ads.nipr.ac.jp/vishop/#/extent from which I will compute the mean for March 2026 when the entire month's data comes in.
In the very unlikely event that it ends up exactly on a bin edge (i.e. 14.0000000), the bin edges will be interpreted as [low, high).
Question will resolve once March 2025 data from VISHOP becomes available.
If data is still unavailable by end of April I will consider N/A'ing the market. I'll leave the market open.
At the moment this market closes on April 15, as an arbitrary cutoff date to keep it open while data is outstanding, but will likely resolve earlier as the data should arrive well before then.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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