Will there be an Arctic Blue Ocean Event by 2030?
9
83
Ṁ642Ṁ190
2030
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Per Wikipedia, a "Blue Ocean Event", is often defined as "having less than 1 million square kilometers of sea ice"
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Graph of estimates from the model in Trends in Arctic sea ice extent from CMIP5, CMIP3 and observations - Stroeve - 2012 - Geophysical Research Letters - Wiley Online Library.
I added an up to date purple line using NSIDC data. I now think the chance of this happening is very low.
Related questions
Related questions
(M5000 subsidy) Will the Arctic sea ice fully melt before the year 2050?
59% chance
Will an AI winter happen by 2030?
33% chance
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
79% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
58% chance
Will a living Megalodon be found before 2030?
41% chance
Will the number of time zones on Earth change by 2030?
44% chance
Will there be another E3 before 2030?
25% chance
Will The Great Reset happen by 2030?
34% chance
Will any country make a (new) territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
29% chance
Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
20% chance