
Will there be an Arctic Blue Ocean Event by 2030?
12
190Ṁ11912030
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Per Wikipedia, a "Blue Ocean Event", is often defined as "having less than 1 million square kilometers of sea ice"
Resolving according to Data Tools | National Snow and Ice Data Center (nsidc.org) daily data
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the arctic be ice-free for any period of time ("blue ocean event") before summer 2026?
3% chance
Will a large number of people turn blue before 2035?
3% chance
Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?
73% chance
Will the north pole be ice free by 2030?
13% chance
Will there be an oil spill in Alaska before 2030?
79% chance
ICE still exists in 2030?
78% chance
Antarctica cruise leading to oil spill? Before 2030
15% chance
Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050?
75% chance
Will some kind of "9/11 but with ships" event happen by the end of 2030?
22% chance
Will activities banned by the Antarctica Treaty take place before 2030?
47% chance