If Musk tries to get out of the fight with Zuck by saying he needs surgery, will he provide some type of proof?
Evidence Criteria:
I intend this to be somewhat loose, in that he must tweet some type of evidence: a picture of an image scan (MRI/etc.), medical results, or a doctor's note; pictures pre/post surgery or during also count (it must be a post with a serious tone, not a joke).
Resolution Criteria:
If Musk doesn't say (tweet or otherwise) he will need surgery in 2023, this market will resolve N/A. Edit: If he says we won't need surgery this will resolve N/A immediately.
If Musk says (tweets or otherwise) he needs surgery, I will wait until the end of 2023 for him to provide proof (this is so people can lobby him on X to provide proof).
If no proof is provided by the end of 2023 this question will resolve NO on this condition (that he says he needs surgery).
If Musk tweets he needs surgery and does provide proof before the end of 2023 this question will resolve YES (I will resolve it as soon as possible).
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ147 | |
| 2 | Ṁ24 | |
| 3 | Ṁ11 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1689969006910861312
Clarification: I realized the resolution criteria could be interpreted ambiguously, specifically as either (1) he says in 2023 he requires surgery or (2) he says he requires surgery that needs to happen in 2023. I did intend for the former (1) as the spirit of the question was that he would use this as an excuse to delay/get out of the fight, not (2) that he would need to explicitly say he needed the surgery to happen in 2023.
If there are any complaints, let me know before I update the description to say this question will no longer resolve N/A as he has said he requires surgery.
maybe it's related to getting a neurachip Neuralink, Elon Musk’s brain implant startup, raises $280 million from Peter Thiel’s VC fund (msn.com)
I should clarify, if he says he won't need surgery, this will resolve N/A immediately.
Edit: Updated the description