So far I have taken 4 driving lessons and have 8 more booked.
I failed my theory test on the 26th of July. I will update the description when I have rebooked my theory. It is worth noting that the country I live in is very small (<100,000 ppl), so there are not long wait times for booking driving tests.
Resolution clarification: Regardless of how many times I resit my theory or practical, this resolves yes if I pass my practical test on or before the last day of 2023.
Full disclosure: I am motivated to resolve this to yes.
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I have a question for clarifications: how many times are you ABLE to attempt the practical test (i.e. do you have the monetary means/time to do it) before 2024?
@Daltonis Cost should not be a problem. The primary issue is time. I am going back to being a full time student (while dropping my hours at work to part time) from the end of September. I will be studying in a large country in Europe. As driving test wait times are likely to be very long there, I am planning to attempt my practical test when I am at 'home', which means I can likely only attempt it during half term and end of the first term breaks.
anyone wanna sell their shares to me so my incentives are more aligned with the spirit of the market? - It feels weird to be short this
@dionisos I can put bids at a certain price and you can execute against them. Or you can set asks and I can execute against those.
@optimusprime I am ok to buy some at the 70%. I will bet against you if you place an order at it so you can sell some of your "no".
But currently I have not much mana. Anyway others will be able to do it too.
@everyone if anyone wants to short this in size, let me know and I’m happy to add more bids
@jojomonsta There isn't enough liquidity for me to close my short with market orders (assuming I don't want to destroy the price and get a bad entry). I have a load of bids in the orderbook, but until someone is willing to take the other side and sell their shares to me, I'm stuck being short lol.
@jojomonsta Alternatively, someone could put some asks in the book that I could execute against, but at the moment, my limit orders are the only liquidity in this market.
Update: Passed the Hazard perception part of my theory. Failed the multiple choice. I needed 43 to pass and scored 38. Will provide another update when my theory is rebooked
I have brought the market down a bit as the probability seemed too high given that I haven't taken my theory yet - I have it in a few hours and so will give an update on whether I pass or fail
if anyone fancies filling my bids so I'm not super-duper short this market, feel free!
Are you planning to retake the test? How long do you have to wait between practical tests and do you have to retake the theory part as well?
retake the test if you fail on the first try ofc
I assume passing e.g. on 3rd try would count as YES resolution of this market?
@jknowak Yes, if I fail either my theory or the practical I will retake as soon as possible (a function of availability of test spots and my personal schedule). Regardless of how many times I retake, if I pass on or before the last day of 2023, this will resolve yes.
How often do you take your driving lessons? And how confident do you feel about your driving ability, e.g., do you have a feeling that you might need more then the 8 remaining lessons or that you will pass the driving test with the first try?
@ScipioFabius I have not had driving lessons for a while as I have been very busy with work. Assuming I pass my theory on Wednesday, I will be taking lessons weekly. I also plan to practice driving with family members. After the four lessons, I am feeling relatively confident on the road, so I hope to pass first try (but will still take all of the lessons to be sure).
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