Will the findings about an politically ideological gender gap replicate by EOY? | Manifold

Will the findings about an politically ideological gender gap replicate by EOY?

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Marginal Revolution

Replication Crisis

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bought Ṁ10 YES

How much of a gap does it have to find for it to count as a successful replication?

@adele I’m reluctant to define it now and I’d prefer to leave it open to subjective perception later.

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Related questions

Will LLMs estimate someone's dif in estimated income after either candidate wins the US presidency by EOY 2028?

Will belief in sex/gender distinction reach 2022 levels again before 2030?

After the 2026 midterms, will I feel like US culture has trended towards greater wokeness in the 2 years prior?

Will more women than men be U.S. president in 2025 through 2052?

Will at least half of the GOP and Democratic Party Presidential and VP nominees be women in 2028?

Will the US have a gender non-conforming president by 2033?

Will an explicitly racist or sexist politician get elected to major office in America by the end of 2030?

Will the gender pay gap in weekly real earnings close to within 5% before 2040

Will the gender pay gap in weekly real earnings close to within 5% before 2030

Will Gallup, Aella OR authoritative pollster show >1.25x OR <0.8x ratio between Gen Alpha M VS F non-cis rates in 2035?

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