Will the findings about an politically ideological gender gap replicate by EOY? | Manifold

Will the findings about an politically ideological gender gap replicate by EOY?

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How much of a gap does it have to find for it to count as a successful replication?

@adele I’m reluctant to define it now and I’d prefer to leave it open to subjective perception later.

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Will we get a new LLM paradigm by EOY?

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Will US state policies on transgender people be significantly more polarized at the beginning of 2026?

In 2025, what percentage of EAs are non-male?

Will LLMs estimate someone's dif in estimated income after either candidate wins the US presidency by EOY 2028?

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