Will more women than men be U.S. president in 2025 through 2052?
27
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11%
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To resolve I will count all people who hold the office of president beginning February 2025 (corresponding to the 2024 election), up through 2052 (thus not including whoever is elected in 2052). Assuming nothing "exciting" happens, this counts whoever is elected in the years [2024,2028,2032,2036,2040,2044,2048]. If the counts are equal, this market resolves to 50%.
This market is partly inspired by: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2020/10/07/americans-are-more-worried-about-their-sons-than-their-daughters/amp/
Oct 30, 2:46pm: Will more women than men be president in 2025 through 2052? → Will more women than men be U.S. president in 2025 through 2052?
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