Will the Mastodon social network report >3 million "last 6 months active users" in 2023?

112

Ṁ1.1K

Ṁ400

Jan 1

84%

chance

ALL

The question resolves to YES if https://the-federation.info/mastodon reports a number higher than 3 million during December 2023 for more than a week (and not hacked). If the aforementioned website is unavailable I will attempt a different resolution method / data source.

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Danny O'Brien🤖predicts YES

Another source: https://mastodon-analytics.com/

Mastodon Analytics

How many users, active users, servers are on Mastodon?

Opredicts YES

Well now it is indicating "Last 6 months users: 4.2 million". I'm not sure if it's the best metric to measure Mastodon's network. If there's no objection, I'll resolve positively this coming Wednesday.