Will the Mastodon social network report >3 million "last 6 months active users" in 2023?
22
112
400
Jan 1
84%
chance

The question resolves to YES if https://the-federation.info/mastodon reports a number higher than 3 million during December 2023 for more than a week (and not hacked). If the aforementioned website is unavailable I will attempt a different resolution method / data source.

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o avatar
Opredicts YES

Well now it is indicating "Last 6 months users: 4.2 million". I'm not sure if it's the best metric to measure Mastodon's network. If there's no objection, I'll resolve positively this coming Wednesday.

o avatar
Opredicts YES
o avatar
Opredicts YES

@o I will wait for 2023 close the market, because there is the possibility that the number of user would drop significantly.

o avatar
O

Relevant info: Bot that reports new user statistics https://bitcoinhackers.org/@mastodonusercount