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MANIFOLD
Will the Mastodon social network report >1.8 million "last 6 months active users" in 2022?
7
Ṁ160Ṁ277
resolved Nov 23
Resolved
YES

The question resolves to YES if https://the-federation.info/mastodon reports a number higher than 1.8 million during December 2022 (and not hacked).

On Sep 21 it has 1.46 million.

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predictedYES

Well now it is indicating "Last 6 months users: 4.2 million". I'm not sure if it's the best metric to measure Mastodon's network. If there's no objection, I'll resolve positively Wednesday.

predictedYES
predictedYES

https://twitter.com/joinmastodon/status/1591519312338210816

> Over 1 million people have joined Mastodon since October 27. Between that and those who returned to their old accounts, the number of active users has risen to over 1.6 million today, which, for context, is over 3 times what it was just about two weeks ago!

Relevant info: Bot that reports new user statistics https://bitcoinhackers.org/@mastodonusercount