What will be the number of monthly active accounts on Mastodon on 2026-10-01
1
Ṁ1kṀ1.1kSep 30
602,048 users
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
69%
Above 700,000
39%
Above 800,000
20%
Above 900,000
14%
Above 1,000,000
10%
Above 1,100,000
Will resolve based on FedIndex: https://fedi.wrm.sr/software/mastodon and their "active accounts tab" (as of 2026-04-06 it shows 750,920 accounts)
If their definition of "active user" changes or the site becomes unavailable, I'll try to find another site gathering the same statistics in the same manner (i.e. querying the nodeinfo API endpoint, regular crawling, respecting robots.txt) and if I cannot find any, this will NA.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?
18% chance
Mastodon will be more than 1% as big as Twitter in 2030
47% chance
How many weekly active users will moltbook have by end of February 2026?
10m
Discord monthly active usership <100M Q4 2029?
50% chance
Will Twitter have at least 400 million monthly active users in 2030?
59% chance