This market resolves YES if Sam Altman takes a temporary leave of absence from his position as CEO of OpenAI before June 1, 2025. This must be officially announced by OpenAI or Altman himself and specifically characterized as a temporary arrangement (not a permanent departure).
The leave of absence must be for at least 2 weeks to qualify for resolution. A leave taken for any reason (including but not limited to the allegations) would count for resolution.
Resolution source: Official announcements from OpenAI, statements from Sam Altman, or reporting from major technology news outlets such as The Verge, TechCrunch, or Wired.
Background
Sam Altman has been serving as CEO of OpenAI since 2019, with a brief interruption in November 2023 when he was temporarily removed by the board before being reinstated five days later following significant backlash and a board reconstruction. As of the latest information available, Altman continues to lead OpenAI as it develops and commercializes advanced AI systems.
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if:
Sam Altman takes a temporary leave of absence from his position as CEO of OpenAI before June 1, 2025
The leave is officially announced by OpenAI or Altman himself
The announcement specifically characterizes it as a temporary arrangement (not a permanent departure)
The leave of absence lasts for at least 2 weeks
The market resolves NO if:
Sam Altman remains continuously in his position as CEO through June 1, 2025
Altman leaves OpenAI permanently before June 1, 2025 (as this would not be a temporary leave)
Altman takes a leave that is shorter than 2 weeks
Altman steps down but remains in another capacity at OpenAI without a formal leave of absence
Resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI, statements from Sam Altman, or reporting from major technology news outlets such as The Verge, TechCrunch, or Wired.
Considerations
The market does not specify the reason for the potential leave of absence. A leave taken for any reason would qualify for resolution, including but not limited to:
Health reasons
Personal time
Sabbatical
Response to allegations or controversies
Temporary reassignment to other projects
Any other circumstance resulting in a formal, temporary absence from CEO duties