Will Suzetrigine/VX-548 (non-opioid painkiller) be prescribed to >500k patients in 2025?
Will Suzetrigine/VX-548 (non-opioid painkiller) be prescribed to >500k patients in 2025?
2
1kṀ752026
49%
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Vertex Pharmaceuticals has a new non-opioid pain medication called VX-548 (Suzetrigine); per https://news.vrtx.com/news-releases/news-release-details/vertex-announces-fda-acceptance-new-drug-application-suzetrigine they expect FDA action on their application in January.
In 2020, 12.7 million people were prescribed opioids in the US alone ( https://meps.ahrq.gov/data_files/publications/st552/stat552.shtml ); 500k would represent <5% of the market.
I learned about this medication through a person with inside information and therefore will not trade on this market.
Related market: https://manifold.markets/PGeyer/pain-relief-vs-addiction-will-verte
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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