Will there be conclusive evidence of a Haitian immigrant in Ohio eating a pet or wild animal before 2025?
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Clarification of "wild animal": a wild animal counts if it is of a type or killed in a fashion that is atypical for Ohioans. So a deer shot in the woods from a tree stand doesn't count. A deer butchered on someone's lawn after it gets caught in their fence does. As a guiding principle, this question is attempting to address social norms rather than legality so hunting licenses, e.g., are not relevant. (When framing it, I had in mind the claims that ducks and geese in local parks were being trapped and eaten.)

Due to the inevitable subjectivity of resolution, I will not be participating in this market.

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bought Ṁ150 YES

@ScottO it's unclear to me that a single part of this video is what it claims to be in any sense. Is the person in this video a Haitian migrant? Are they cutting up a domesticated animal, or even an animal at all? Both seem unlikely.

bought Ṁ200 YES

The evidence of Haitians and other migrants killing geese, cats, and dogs is overwhelming

Here is a video from Dayton, Ohio the next town over fromSpringfield of a Haitian family cooking a cat on a BBQ:
https://youtu.be/bJDKcj3lSLM?si=jscnhoVR6tnxzhfY

There is police body cam footage of a woman eating a family pet on their lawn: https://youtu.be/9MxC8VQrH54

There is evidence of illegal Haitian migrants killing and eating geese and swans at the local parks
There is also a recording of the 911 call for the geese that were killed and cooked in a park in Ohio:
https://youtu.be/ULXa31NiiDg

TESTIMONY FROM LOCAL RESIDENTS
Video of emotional local woman breaking down in tears as she describes seeing her dogs decapitated head in the street after illegal Haitian migrants slaughtered her dog and
ate it on the asphalt: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kM2UtyVefd8

Video of a local man describing the Haitian problem in Springfield: https://youtu.be/dnRAW590Nvg

https://youtu.be/jaHj_-LDOko?si=oGg4Q6u2Cp5LgwLa


Video of Local Springfield man in his garage describing the Haitian problem: https://youtu.be/gZADwzk5D2U

Police report
https://files.catbox.moe/keg0o0.pdf


Here is a Haitian news site reporting that culturally, Haitians eat cats
https://www.haitianreport.com/2019/03/does-haitian-eat-cats.html

3 traders bought Ṁ400 NO

@Dynd The only one of those that would qualify as conclusive evidence is the video of the woman in the driveway, and she turned out to be a black American on drugs.

@Dynd All of these have been brought up and dismissed already. The requirements here are specific.

Too bad I'm not Haitian otherwise this would be a free mana opportunity.

@AlexanderTurok You would be a Haitian immigrant, a US-born Haitian would not count.

The banner image makes a good depiction of Haiti's coat of arms on the t-shirt...less accurate on the Ohio flag motifs in the tablecloth, but ok, I get what it's doing...

...but then wtf is that on the floor?

@AndrewHebb Yeah, and there’s a Great Replacement under way to put Hittites in their place!

It seems pets that belong to someone else taste better 😋

What if someone pays a Haitian immigrant to eat pet meat on camera so that the claim becomes true?

@Snarflak Resolves YES! I encourage you not to do this, though.

@njmkw Why not!?

@Snarflak Cheaper just to buy mana. I love a deal.

@Snarflak I think you’re joking but just in case I want to say this would be pretty unethical in my view (as in, it could make a lot of people’s lives worse for a pretty tiny benefit to yourself)

@Harlan I wasn't implying that I would do it, but that Trump supporters would do it.

And then there was the $5,000 bounty posted on X by the conservative intellectual and political activist Chris Rufo for “anyone who can provide my team with hard, verifiable evidence that Haitian migrants are eating cats in Springfield, Ohio. Deadline is Sunday. Go.”

And a bunch of replies saying they would eat a cat for $5000.

@Snarflak I think those replies were all joking, and Rufo did clarify he wouldn't pay out his bounty for that.

@mongo Sure, but there's a huge incentive to manufacture evidence of Trump "being right all along".

@Snarflak How many Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio support Donald Trump? Zero? Less than that?

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Wild animals OR pets being only 5 points higher than pets alone seems nuts to me.

https://manifold.markets/njmkw/will-there-be-conclusive-evidence-o-6ufxfw22wy

opened a Ṁ600 YES at 20% order

@njmkw yeah, this would be easy, any Ohioan just need to offer their Haitian neighbor some deer jerky on camera.

@NickAllen Per my clarification, wild animals killed an eaten in a socially normative way don’t count. If someone fooled a Haitian into eating cat meat on camera (“haha, do you know what that was?”) I would have to think really hard though.