Will there be an official ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war lasting at least one week before the end of 2023?
48%
chance

A ceasefire beginning in 20223 and ending in 2024 counts. A ceasefire announced in 2023 that will not begin until 2024 does not count. NB: Orthodox Christians in both Russia and Ukraine celebrate Christmas on January 7.

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Yev avatar

Does capitulation of either side count as ceasefire?

njmkw avatar
Nicola Wilson
is predicting YES at 64%

@Yev Yes. Surrender counts.

ManifoldDream avatar

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