Rules:

If this market closes below 45% chance, this market resolves as YES.

If this market closes at or above 45% chance, this market resolves as NO.
This market has an initial subsidy of 1,010 $M.

Resolution:

This prediction market will close in a week, on October 25 at 23:59 Peru Time (GMT-5), it will be marked as resolved on October 26 after knowing the last implied probability percentage this market traded at.

Have fun!