Will this market close above 50% percent?
Plus
57
Ṁ67kresolved Oct 27
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Rules:
If this market closes at or above 50% chance, this market resolves as YES.
If this market closes below 50% chance, this market resolves as NO.
This market has an initial subsidy of 1,000 $M.
Resolution:
This prediction market will close in a week, on October 26 at 23:59 Peru Time (GMT-5), it will be marked as resolved on October 27 after knowing the last implied probability percentage this market traded at.
Have fun!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@MagnusAnderson indeed, market manipulation is possible in self-fulfilling markets like this one.
I think most markets here can be influenced by human actors, but the difficulty varies on what the market is about.
@MagnusAnderson In fact, ALL trades in this market directly affect the outcome