Will Trump eliminate taxes on gambling winnings?
5
1kṀ818
2028
23%
chance

Resolves when a law is passed eliminating income taxes on gambling winnings. The law may be limited in scope, such as no taxes on the first $10k of gambling winnings. A deduction for winnings (not losses) would count.

This is unrelated to any notion of profits (winnings - losses), only winnings

The law must be enacted before the end of his term. If Trump is no longer president, this continues until his successor finishes the rest of his term.

  • Update 2025-12-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) does not count toward resolution. The OBBBA only changed the deduction for losses, not winnings. For this market to resolve YES, a law must change the tax treatment of gambling winnings specifically.

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I haven't launched any research into this yet, but what if such a law was already passed during this term?

@nikki Uh Oh. How do you interpret the One Big Beautiful Bill?

Edit: I asked a dumb question. This is about the elimination of the taxes, not enacting them.

@Quroe No such law has been passed. Right now, you need to report gambling winnings on a tax return. The OBBBA only changed the deduction for losses, not winnings

bought Ṁ1 NO

Nothing ever happens. 1 mana on NO, please.

reposted

Cool market!

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